The 17% Signal: What On-Chain Prediction Markets Are Telling Us About the Ukraine Conflict's Crypto Narrative
On July 17, 2025, a single number caught my eye—17%. That’s the probability,...
michael chen related articles
On July 17, 2025, a single number caught my eye—17%. That’s the probability,...
Fear
Market Sentiment
92 million ARB released
Circulating supply increases by about 2%
Independent validator client goes live on mainnet
Raises validator limit and account abstraction
Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC
Team and early investor shares released
Block reward halving event
Improves data availability sampling efficiency
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